FISCMacro & BanksMarket data 2026-10-20

Fiscal & Debt#

In the 12 months to Sep 2026, the central government ran a ₺2.42tn budget deficit and a ₺220.9bn primary surplus.

Notes

Interest payments took 19.3% of tax revenue, down 1.1 pp from a year earlier.

Budget Balance, 12 Months
−₺2.42tn
12 months to Sep 2026 · −₺171.1bn against 12 months earlier
Primary Balance, 12 Months
₺220.9bn
12 months to Sep 2026
Budget Balance since January (2026)
−₺1.84tn
against −₺1.22tn in Jan–Sep 2025
Interest to Tax Revenue (12 Months)
19.3%
-1.1 pp against one year earlier
Interest to Total Expenditure (12 Months)
14.4%
Sums of 12 months
Non-Resident Share of Domestic Debt
7.0%
-0.2 pp against one year earlier · Sep 2026

Budget Balance#

The 12-month sums smooth the seasonal pattern of tax collection and of interest payment dates.

Notes

The monthly bars show the underlying flow. HMB marks current-year figures as provisional, with (*) Geçici, until a later release confirms them.

12-Month and Monthly Balance#

12-month and monthly budget and primary balance. Axes: ₺bn, nominal.

Since January, Against the Same Months of the Year Before#

Budget and primary balance since January against the year before. Axes: ₺bn, nominal, since January.

HMB — Merkezi Yönetim Bütçe Dengesi ve Finansmanı · latest Sep 2026

Interest Burden#

The chart compares interest expenditure with tax revenue and with total expenditure.

Notes

A rising share means that more of each lira collected pays for existing debt. Less is left for other spending.

Interest Expenditure Share (12 Months)#

Interest expenditure as a share of tax revenue and of total expenditure. Axes: % (sums of 12 months).

HMB — Merkezi Yönetim Bütçe Dengesi ve Finansmanı · latest Sep 2026

Revenue & Spending#

The chart shows the nominal 1-year growth of tax revenue and of primary expenditure, which is spending without interest.

Notes

Each month compares with the same calendar month one year earlier. The CPI 1-year change of TÜİK is the reference. Real growth is a ratio of the two rates. It is not a simple subtraction.

Nominal Growth and Inflation#

Tax revenue and primary spending 1-year growth against the CPI 1-year change. Axes: % change from the same month one year earlier.

Latest Month: Growth Before and After Inflation#

The table is for Sep 2026. Real growth uses the CPI 1-year change of Sep 2026, which is 29.7%.

Growth of tax revenue and primary spending in the latest month
Budget lineNominal 1-year change, %Real 1-year change, %
Tax revenue+21.8%−6.1%
Primary spending+39.1%+7.2%

HMB — Merkezi Yönetim Bütçe Dengesi ve Finansmanı · TÜİK headline CPI · latest Sep 2026

Debt Stock#

The chart splits the central government debt stock by type of debt, as a share of the total stock.

Notes

The total stock is domestic and external debt together. In the HMB workbook, Treasury bills and government bonds make up the domestic stock. International bonds and loans make up the external stock. The next section shows who holds the domestic debt.

By Instrument (Share of Total Stock)#

Central government debt stock by instrument, share of total. Axes: % of total stock.

Latest levels (Sep 2026): total stock ₺16.20tn, of which domestic ₺9.70tn and external ₺6.50tn.

HMB — Merkezi Yönetim Borç Stoku Enstrüman Dağılımı · latest Sep 2026

Who Holds the Debt#

The chart covers the domestic debt stock only, by holder.

Notes

The red band is the non-resident share. A fast fall means that foreign investors sell lira debt. That can add pressure on the lira and on rates.

Domestic Debt Stock by Holder (Share)#

Domestic debt stock by holder, share of total. Axes: % of domestic debt stock.

HMB — İç Borç Stokunun Elinde Bulunduranlara Göre Dağılımı · latest Sep 2026

Borrowing Terms#

The charts show the average cost and the average maturity of domestic cash borrowing.

Notes

The cost is an annual compound rate, so it compares directly with the 2-year Treasury yield. The monthly line (lavender) reflects the debt issued in that month, so it swings with the mix of issuance. The average since January (violet) is steadier. The Treasury Auctions page has the auction calendar, the redemption schedule, rollover and the financing programme.

Average Cost and the 2-Year Treasury Yield#

Average cost of domestic cash borrowing and the 2-year Treasury yield. Axes: % per year, compound.

Average Maturity#

Average maturity of domestic cash borrowing. Axes: Months.

HMB — İç Borçlanmanın Ortalama Vadesi / Maliyeti · latest Sep 2026